Finished
Ivory Coast
12
Norway

Ivory Coast vs Norway: full-strength Norwegians get the nod

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Profit +$1,533 ROI +6%
2.214
Win (Norway)
$300

This World Cup knockout at 30 June 2026, 17:00 UTC has the smell of a proper arm-wrestle. Ivory Coast bring pace, pride and a midfield built for collisions, but Norway’s restored attack is the detail that catches the eye.

That France defeat needs careful handling, like a hot pie at half-time. Norway rotated heavily there, with the core of the side saved for this very assignment rather than dragged through another bruising shift.

Norway bring the big instruments

Solbakken now has Haaland, Ødegaard, Sørloth and Nusa together from the start. That is not just a list of names; it is a full attacking menu, from penalty-box power to clever service and direct running.

Patrick Berg’s inclusion also matters because Ivory Coast are dangerous when matches break open. Norway are not simply loading the cannon, they are also putting someone near the powder room with a fire extinguisher.

Ryerson’s absence at right-back is a genuine concern, especially against Ivorian pace in wide areas. Pedersen gives athletic legs, but Norway lose some defensive authority and will need their midfield cover to be alert.

Still, this is much closer to Norway’s intended knockout team than the side that took the heavy scoreline against France. The market appears to respect Ivory Coast, rightly, but it has not fully adjusted to Norway’s strongest attacking unit being restored.

Ivory Coast are awkward, but not at full sharpness

Ivory Coast have earned every bit of respect here. They beat Ecuador late, handled Curaçao professionally, pushed Germany, and even took a warm-up win over France that added a cheerful spring to the step.

Their best route is clear enough: Kessié and Sangaré turn midfield into a wrestling mat, then Yan Diomandé, Pépé and the wide runners attack space. When they get rolling, defenders tend to hear footsteps and drums.

But the starting XI leaves a couple of useful arrows in the quiver. Amad Diallo not starting reduces that extra wide spark, while Evan Ndicka and Ousmane Diomande beginning on the bench makes the defensive matchup against Haaland and Sørloth less reassuring.

Wilfried Singo is also unavailable, which removes another quick, powerful defensive option. Against Norway’s aerial and box presence, that feels like arriving at a picnic and realising someone forgot the big umbrella.

The price leans too cautious

I do not want the bigger-goals angle here, even though the ingredients are tempting. Knockout football can be careful, and asking for a wild show feels like ordering fireworks before checking whether it is raining.

The Ivory Coast safety handicap is understandable too, because this side has physical edge and character. The problem is that the cushion is priced more like insurance than a bet with much meat on the bone.

So the cleanest route is Norway to win. Their elite attackers are on the pitch together, their rotation has done its job, and Berg’s presence gives them a better chance of surviving the very transitions Ivory Coast will chase.

It should not be easy, and Ivory Coast have more than enough personality to make Norway sweat. But with the confirmed starters tilting the balance, the away win is the side I want before the whistle.

Bet & verdict: Win (Norway) at 2.214 — Norway’s full attacking unit and sturdier midfield setup make the price too cautious.
Ivory CoastNorway
2.214
Win (Norway)
$300
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